AMBA · Ambarella, Inc.Ambarella, Inc.

The post presents a research summary of US robotics supply chain companies, highlighting exposure to humanoid and industrial robotics from players like Boston Dynamics and Optimus. The author is personally invested in SYSS and LPTH as bottleneck plays, and identifies several other tickers as potential beneficiaries. The overall thesis is bullish on robotics inflection in 2026-2027.

Tesla's Optimus supply chain is bottlenecked by MP (magnets), LPTH (black diamond), and SYSS (frame materials), while AMBA may be cut off as Tesla develops custom chips.

Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.

No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.