Conversations & Connections
See how Serenity's posts link together. Threads are multi-post conversations. Citations show when one post references another. Ticker mentions reveal which stocks are discussed together.
Conversation Threads (30)
11 postsI’m genuinely impressed there’s people out there holding $IREN. Imagine getting…Mar 24, 2026$IREN$NBIS$AAOI
I’m genuinely impressed there’s people out there holding $IREN. Imagine getting close to half the market cap… ~$6B eventually diluted, sold into the…
@NieMehrKrieg Much better opportunities out than $IREN. If you want the same sector, $NBIS is objectively better when you look at how they finance c…
@StocksAREnuts Buffett buys profitable companies generating enormous amounts of FCF. $IREN is reverse Bufffett where you’re buying into companies to …
@HeLiuLeo I ended up preferring SK Hynix over $MU at these levels, but memory as a whole is a good long. Lot of LNG/helium/crude fears don’t really i…
@PizzaLuv Dont worry. This is basically the standard $IREN holder comeback in the comments: "You make $1560 a week? Well I make $1560 in seven days"
@bennybigbull Not saying $IREN is going to crash or go down. My nuanced point is that upside is capped when there’s an active $6B ATM. So it’s bett…
@HeLiuLeo So $EWY as a proxy has gotten a tad worse due to current devaluation from Oil/War tensions. So individually holding SK Hynix might be bette…
@SPACMANAGER Points out a fact: “A $6B active ATM structurally caps upside” $IREN holder: “this is wrong because you’re a loser”
@CoastalInvstmnt I don’t have any open positions in $IREN. Just sharing my thoughts on X
@BitcoinAIGuy https://t.co/fL2dDxN0hi
@SwellAndFlow It's probably better to chase equity appreciation rather than being structurally capped by $IREN's active ATM. I think you made the rig…
10 postsMy thoughts on $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV and the current Neocloud market. One of the…Mar 28, 2026$NBIS$IREN$CRWV
My thoughts on $NBIS, $IREN, $CRWV and the current Neocloud market. One of them ends up as the next AWS in 5 years: My guess it’s Nebius. It's no…
Sure, I have a lot of respect for the Aschenbrenner, vast majority of his longs like $BE and $LITE are stellar. I haven't really seen a fund like Situ…
I saw large potential with $IREN last year. The reason I flipped bearish is because... who is funding the monetization of their GW capacity? It's ex…
I would personally not just invest in one sector for diversification sake. I talk about photonics like $AAOI recently because I see it as highest sh…
@Jornka329996 @gude57856 $IREN is out there diluting $6B+ and nobody bats an eye. $SIVE could potentially dilute $15M-20M to scale up CW laser segmen…
@BelfortsTaxGuy If you have to think about almost not sinking for $CRWV... there's probably better longs out there in the market, just saying?
@futureproof_inv Hyperscalers need power today... not in 5 years time. That's why neoclouds like $NBIS or $IREN hit that sweet spot where they have …
I really find it hard to disagree with my assessment. I said $IREN was accretive long term. But short term holders are the one funding the buildout …
If $PL, the $11B company filed for a $6,000,000,000 dilution, I'm pretty sure everyone would leave their positions. The reason why $IREN filed for a…
@BonyBallf2 @Kaizen_Investor $6,000,000,000 dilution and sales into the open market for $IREN is not "noise".
10 postsPersonal TLDR research. Western supply chain bottlenecks like $LPTH and $AXTI…Jan 18, 2026$AXTI$LPTH$LPKFF
Personal TLDR research. Western supply chain bottlenecks like $LPTH and $AXTI: $MTRN - Beryllium (Spor Mountain) $HALEU - Uranium | SMRs $ESE …
@gauchos805 $WOLF was probably the most interesting one up there after restructuring. $LPKFF also for glass substrates and they own the laser induce…
@D4RW1NEXE Appreciate it! Yeah these are the more under-the-radar ones since the marketcaps are extremely small. But by the time it hits $10B+ like $…
@upliftyourpath $LPTH is incredible. My thesis is most US companies will move off China germanium supply chains (especially for defense) and use Lig…
@RKLBMan I'm sure you would like $FEIM given its space exposure. It's already up 241% this year so I'm sure markets have slowly started to realize t…
@pennycheck They're all called bottlenecks because they're critical for their specific vertical. But helium-3 definitely is for US quantum/defense ind…
@pennycheck Trump's tariff policies are an engima to me. Also just a heads up for people who think they should ape into $PLSR - Nobody knows the vol…
@hrtflutter Whoops, $LEU for HALEU (High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium). Centrus Energy is currently the only company in the U.S. with a license to enri…
@jaded4595325692 i don't think there are any ETFs like this since half of these are very very niche small cap. I'd be happy to write up a bottleneck …
@jaded4595325692 A bottleneck ETF would be a great opportunity for @matthew_sigel or someone at @vaneck_us to make. I'm sure it would get a lot of …
9 postsThe primary argument for Iren’s $6B dilution was: “Trust in $IREN management wi…Mar 8, 2026$IREN$BKKT$ASST
The primary argument for Iren’s $6B dilution was: “Trust in $IREN management with managing dilution.” If you look at the actual history of IREN mana…
@ChrisKing189362 Feel free to say whatever you want, but it doesn’t change the reality of things. It’s all public information with $IREN management t…
@JC_GetRichSlow It’s not adding nothing to the dialogue when there’s a material $6 Billion USD ATM. It’s also public information $IREN management was…
@stockscout101 Exactly. It’s good people have the full picture so people can make informed decisions from risks with $IREN. Unfortunately there’s bee…
@hoiyeahhhh Across $BKKT, $ASST, and maybe $IREN. The strategy has been identical. Generate massive retail hype around a hot narrative (Bitcoin trea…
@CK_Cryptoklepto We’re probably at this stage since I’m getting called a bot for pointing out $IREN risk disclosures lol https://t.co/DTM73USeMx
@weary_centurion Thanks and sorry to hear that. I’m just trying to give justified warnings about ATM dilution. I did the same with $BKKT last year be…
@chiptomunk You do realize Mike Alfred sits on the board of $IREN right?
@LandoInvests @chiptomunk I phrased it correctly. Board of directors is $IREN management. If it were some random engineer, then no.
9 postsI’ve said this before with $CRCL pre-IPO lockup at $200. And I’ll say it again …Mar 5, 2026$CRCL$HIMS$IREN
I’ve said this before with $CRCL pre-IPO lockup at $200. And I’ll say it again with $IREN post-$6B dilution to prove a point: TA and Charting alone,…
@cafeaulaitfr Yeah I was warning people back at $140-$200 range on $CRCL that there was a massive share unlock. But a lot of the TA drawers back the…
@Agrippa_Inv Nobody said $IREN was selling $6B in one day? This whole post was about TA drawers as a standalone without including any thoughts about…
@R1chardMaur1ce $HIMS got sued to oblivion by $NVO and the US GOV. Compound weight loss drugs was their primary avenue for revenue growth and potent…
@MirageWL8 The fact so many people on X believe you can trade on TA alone without looking at stock fundamentals, macro, or catalysts is the reason why…
@Agrippa_Inv The $6B dilution is absolutely immense long term selling pressure for $IREN. A lot of people understate how egregious that ATM actually…
@themomentumplay Because it’s genuinely harmful to newcomers when they see someone TA $BULL XYZ breakout to $200 when it was trading at a $50B MC. W…
@InitialY23 TA is a helpful indicator. The whole point of the post was that chart posters who rely on it **alone** without considering anything else…
@17Reazy Yep, this is how you should use TA. I use it too. Just saying the people following and drawing those 400%+ random breakout patterns witho…
9 postsThe "InP Chokepoint": The Bottleneck of the AI Buildout explanation: The future…Dec 27, 2025$AXTI$SMTOY$NVDA
The "InP Chokepoint": The Bottleneck of the AI Buildout explanation: The future of $NVDA Blackwell, $META MTAI, $GOOGL TPU, and $MSFT Maia ramp is ti…
@VulcanMK5 Yep, $LITE and $COHR are amazing and are up quite a bit since they tons pricing power. Go few levels deeper into $AXTI (vertically inte…
@trusited Grok is likely conflating wafer fab with InP substrate manufacturing. $AVGO's penn fab still requires InP substrates from Sumitomo, $AXTI, o…
@NowAwake_7 @VulcanMK5 Last time I took a look, IQE was going through asset sales? Seemed like a distressed company rather than “cheap”. You can tel…
@Qreiseck I will donate to a charity if your choice if you can point out where you realized a $700m microcap company like $AXTI was the bottleneck for…
@crux_capital_ Thanks, love your posts on $LITE, $POET $AAOI $COHR, $MRVL, and other photonic players too
@SwanShapedBird There is a lot risk with $AXTI for sure. That’s why it’s valued like a penny stock at $700m and not $30B+ like $SMTOY despite being bo…
@Mexicancik1 So I’m not advocating for buying $AXTI since there’s significant risks with China supply chains but just clearing up misconceptions. If …
@dr_lmfao_ Yeah absolutely, I’m working on a model to normalize ownership of indium phosphide for just laser grade feedstock from private vertically i…
8 posts$MRVL cancelled $POET purchase orders after the CFO went out and violated NDA wh…Apr 27, 2026$POET$SIVE$MRVL
$MRVL cancelled $POET purchase orders after the CFO went out and violated NDA when getting angry. Ouch to Poet, down -46%, this is why I don’t like c…
@FlachtFunds Oh $SIVE is definitely fine, since they're vastly diversified. They likely basically serve everyone: -> $AAPL Silicon Photonics -> $JBL…
@BrokeBoyCap Oh, I'm guessing $MRVL is vertically integrating the packaging process after buying the lasers from someone like $SIVE or $LITE. That's…
@Jackylee811574 $MRVL will likely do that interposer packaging IP in-house. I did expect them to design out $POET down the road, just not this early. …
@satyadeva97 @PhotonCap For $POET, not an overreaction. Poet was largely single source customer concentration risk, although they started getting othe…
@AD14977 I've always said $POET is the most likely to get designed out down the road. They just buy lasers and package them... and $MRVL can just go …
@CryptoZ4 You do realized I posted that at ~$5 when the marketcap was like ~$600m off $420m cash. https://t.co/bQl5AbpzG7
@O_bhaina $MRVL benefits long term by vertically integrating the packaging process. They will likely just make a deal and buy lasers directly from $S…
8 postsMost people on X make the mistake of getting married to a stock. If your thesi…Mar 7, 2026$IREN$HIMS$BMNR
Most people on X make the mistake of getting married to a stock. If your thesis materially changes with $HIMS or $IREN, so should your position. I…
@fedex774 Yes it’s the same with other stocks like $BMNR. If the goal investors supported was to acquire 5% of $ETH supply and compound return throug…
@Sandeman52 I was long $IREN last year, but the thesis has materially changed. Again I have zero economic interest in $IREN now but I do look out for…
@Brian_S1_1991 First major $IREN buys were in the high $20’s low 30’s. Then exited on the way up. It was very promising, asset light company last ye…
@daniel_koss Agreed, if your name is not $GOOGL or $TSM where you can just sit back 4 years and know it will likely do well. It’s important to monito…
@blackwalletfr There’s a difference between the company $IREN doing well and your shares in the company appreciating in value. I care about how my sh…
@MontSalvatUSA @daniel_koss I’ll make a follow up post on this, stuff like $INTC, $COHR, $RDDT, $IBIT, and $RKLB are not going away anytime soon.
@eclement04 No I’m long on memory and volatility increases. Q2 NAND prices were doubled by Samsung and likely SK Hynix, around 4-10 times more than an…
8 posts$SIVE looks like both a chokepoint and a bottleneck for CPO next year. Keep se…Jun 4, 2026$SIVE
$SIVE looks like both a chokepoint and a bottleneck for CPO next year. Keep seeing information published from nontechnical people who miss any nuanc…
@Raccoononomics That’s fabricated information from short sellers. The CEO bought shares on the open market recently. Having the director of the wire…
@SidkMena It’s not a monopoly. Just technical dominance over ASIC/Merchant CPO route architectures . And wouldn’t be surprised if other pluggable pla…
@AngelSagiri I’ve repeated this for every single stock, but insider selling means literally nothing. A managing director of wireless transferring own…
@Oli10k Short sellers are probably running bot farms since they’re all underwater https://t.co/8LtVFocWGf
@Jornka329996 Why am I getting stupid questions like this. Stocks don’t move in a straight line up every day
@user637826 I’m confident in my $SIVE thesis playing out and am not selling a single share. I tried to tell Swedish locals back at 6 SEK how compell…
@chuge857 Up to Win Semi and other foundries. Win Semi just did a private placement to scale up capacity, pretty confident they can scale up significa…
7 postsDid you listen anon? $SIVE is extremely early. And we’re about to see a ton o…May 25, 2026$SIVE
Did you listen anon? $SIVE is extremely early. And we’re about to see a ton of institutional inflow (Blackrock, Vanguard, MSCI, NASDAQ) next week f…
@Selooo79 3 weeks ago they were trying to bear post about some random Swedish firm selling. Now, Blackrock, Vanguard and others are buying $SIVE next…
@AatAzerti I can’t help you with that, should make your own decision. But just keep in mind, your largest Blackrock/Vanguard instituonal inflow (all…
@notrickflair No, why would there be much of a pullback? (Also don’t own Cerebras) The “hype” over Vanguard and Blackrock buying $SIVE is extremely j…
@yvesai0 Nah, I think $SIVE is still extremely undervalued relatively speaking. Ayar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence, celestial, and others all probably…
@algo_fati microled is way, way too early for anything CPO related, even though i see a lot of media analysts try pushing it.
@algo_fati Sorry I mean by H2 2028 is estimates in terms of when it starts ramping up. The technology is there, just industry adoption is extremely …
7 postsIf you’re curious about $AXTI: It’s down 21% on the new potential dilution news…Apr 6, 2026$AXTI$IREN$AAOI
If you’re curious about $AXTI: It’s down 21% on the new potential dilution news. Board wanted to add 50M more shares (up to $2B worth to dilute) for…
@LepoulpePoulpo Yeah it’s 31st, and you’ve seen the stock drop since then. Imo markets are just pricing in. Also $LITE is down 7% and algorithmicall…
@Kaizen_Investor Yes if you were $GME, $AMC CEO’s a logical choice might be to dump ATMs on a retail shareholders to benefit the company because they …
@BitcoinAIGuy There’s a difference between raising capital like $100m from Northland. Then getting your equity wiped out by doubling the float with $…
@nasdaq90 $500m relative to $7B for InP fab and assembly expansion for becoming the biggest 1.6T capacity in America for $AAOI. Is materially differe…
@LeaderInvests That’s called being predatory, especially with the share issuance size. I’m dumping every $AXTI position I have if it passes.
@neverlongqcom It’s multifaceted. I personally attribute it more to dilution overhang because nobody wants to be holding the stock if they double the …
7 posts过去一个多月我发了很多条关于功率半导体的推文,从新周期判断到800V HVDC的深度长文到成熟制程代工供需分析。当时市场对功率半导体的关注度远没有现在高。 6…Jun 4, 2026$士兰微$华润微$新洁能
过去一个多月我发了很多条关于功率半导体的推文,从新周期判断到800V HVDC的深度长文到成熟制程代工供需分析。当时市场对功率半导体的关注度远没有现在高。 6月2号瑞银发了一份中国功率半导体行业专题,覆盖士兰微、华润微、新洁能、斯达半导。通读下来,核心方向跟我过去几周讲的高度重合,但数据填充比我当…
@Jupiterdc1 趋势已经开始啦
@razor_liu 扬杰在功率二极管和整流桥上的规模优势是实实在在的。主要是4月被纳入欧盟对俄制裁清单,海外增量的天花板被压低了,这个影响会继续发酵
@Hakushu17 不清楚
@xenoxidal1234 Innoscience is the most important GaN player in this cycle that the sell-side isn’t covering.
@binhaochen Wolfspeed是SiC衬底的老牌龙头,刚完成破产重组,荣光已不在。8英寸SiC衬底的份额正在被天岳先进蚕食,天岳全球份额已经到了27.6%,8英寸产品份额超过50%。Wolfspeed的价值更多在于它是全球SiC产业的风向标,毛利还是负的,新厂良率还在爬坡,以前的客户流失…
@qpkscn123 @razor_liu 制裁没有解除呀。只是提议要临时豁免,原因是欧洲车企游说说库存几周就会耗尽,来不及切换供应商。给车企几个月的供应商切换窗口。
7 postsGUESS WHAT ANON? After today’s new news with Ayar joining Nvidia NVLink fusion.…Jun 3, 2026$SIVE
GUESS WHAT ANON? After today’s new news with Ayar joining Nvidia NVLink fusion. $SIVE is now the laser source for likely: The entire Nvidia’s NVLin…
@Chi_w_wong $NVDA CPO ecosystem = $MRVL, Lightmatter, Ayar (joined today) $SIVE 100% confirmed laser supplier to Ayar. $SIVE high confidence laser …
@MindQuest42 If $SIVE were trading at $6-8B valuations today, I wouldn't be surprised. That being said, its still on a Swedish exchange, but NASDAQ l…
@OGCapital25 @Chi_w_wong It's expected Celestial and Lightmatter try and multi source. But maybe for gen-1 my guess is a lot sole source / primary s…
@Uri62223094 its supply chain confirmation, I knew $NVDA was an investor in Ayar, so Id assume they wanted some strategic collaboration like NVlink ec…
@siflower That's $NVDA directly. I'm talking about the ASIC/merchant NVLink CPO ecosystem partners. Where $SIVE looks like they're the supplier to e…
@Jayden11129225 There's active short sellers probably doubling down on $SIVE. I'd expect them to get wrecked over time. Especially on more announcem…
6 postsFor $SIVE to become the next $80B+ $LITE. Sivers is the current laser kingmake…May 23, 2026$SIVE$AAOI$FOCI
For $SIVE to become the next $80B+ $LITE. Sivers is the current laser kingmaker of the optical transition to CPO and 1.6T. They basically supply l…
@HarshaRenga96 I said this before but I have high conviction in $SIVE. I'm confident their UC Berkeley + $LITE executive team knows what IP to acqui…
@IkaKnight_ Markets are kinda realizing US Gov is heavily backing $SIVE as you can see with direct US CHIPS Act funding. Since you see Sivers in $YS…
@northyvt $AAOI is more pure manufacturing scale and I'm extremely bullish on them. So it's more like Furukawa + Innolight in my view? So extremely …
@cherryPayment Welcome to Silicon Valley, Sweden. It's moreso what you can do with the funding and if you can turn that market investment into $100…
@_juicebox99_ I don't see FOCI becoming a $50B+ company. They focus on one thing like optical components + FAU for $TSM / $NVDA, then do it at scale…
6 postsThinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal? Here's the way to think about it…Jan 28, 2026$CRWV$NVDA$NBIS
Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal? Here's the way to think about it: A casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with …
@owoNine Others like $CIFR, $WULF are colo. They don't buy GPUs. $CRWV, $NBIS, $IREN do. The first two $NVDA funded. The latter one, $MSFT did …
@PhotonCap 저는 $NBIS 가 현재 매우 매력적이라고 생각합니다. $CIFR(네오클라우드가 아닌 코로케이션 부문) 같은 특정 종목들도 마찬가지입니다. 반면 $CRWV 는 그만큼 설득력이 있지는 않네요. 네비우스(Nebius)의 비즈니스 모델은 기본적으로 전년…
@jukan05 🛖🔥🚿💸💾🏦😢
@feanor_legend $CRWV is probably the only $50B+ company I can think of that is likely going to go bankrupt. At least $ORCL has a profitable core busin…
@Veganhippo21 I was buying $CRWV at $34 last year, and I swing traded it at $70 this year. That being said, "u mad" doesn't help Coreweave's issue w…
6 postsBased Friday Market Close (-3.6% SPY day), Thoughts and Explanations Strong Buy…Oct 11, 2025$NBIS$CRWV$AMD
Based Friday Market Close (-3.6% SPY day), Thoughts and Explanations Strong Buy $IBIT $LTC $WLAC $NBIS $MP $TSM (For Next Year) $ETOR $DKNG $SNAP Bu…
@Solar_Twelve I actually hit the X ticker maximum otherwise I would have talked about more stuff from $AMD to $CRWV. But yeah, Coreweave is at the ce…
@DigestingX For semis like $AMD it’s a buy for 1Y out when the 100B contract with OpenAI starts ramping up. Some other comment mentioned $MU, they’re…
@pepemoonboy Thanks, looks like there was some de-escalation. Excited for $NBIS too next week https://t.co/Vg3ZM4D5eW
@Hoona1203 I ran out of tickers because X post limits, otherwise $RDDT was a buy at $192, $AMD was a buy at $210, $VIRT is a buy at $33 (not so much a…
@mrazqkuki oh god Cathie Wood, get me out of $DKNG
6 posts$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC. That is not noise. This i…Mar 29, 2026$IREN
$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC. That is not noise. This is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new…
@maxpoop69 Might be helpful to read the post. Maybe this is why people still think $6B $IREN ATMs are noise and their stock prices are going to go up…
@FransBakker9812 Sorry to break it to you… but made up personal attacks doesn’t make a $6,000,000,000 ATM disappear
@0xInitialAce Cutting at a loss might be better with things like $IREN. So you can chase better opportunities that don’t have capped upside from dilut…
@GMGoz1x Yes, basically it. I’ve been bullish on $IREN last year. But with the $6B ATM I’m extreme bearish due to structural overhang. But if they m…
@DamienWong20 There's something called SBC where $IREN executives can issue more shares to themselves. Take a look at $SNAP, the company awards emplo…
6 postshttps://t.co/6xoodaH87jMar 15, 2026$TSLA
https://t.co/6xoodaH87j
@MingleSach The materials required to scale AI and DCs are fundamentally different from those required to scale humanoid robots. For example tungst…
@qxiAixp Yes, China is dominating US on the component side needed to make humanoids. And US companies are doubling down, by completely relying on Chi…
@Adam_a_Dias You can manufacture the most advanced robot prototypes at $TSLA or Boston Dynamics. But when you try and scale it up, China has control …
@ChunkOfTheStars Tesla does the design. Majority of the actual hardware comes from Chinese companies like Sanhua China has the export control switch …
@PhotonCap Yeah Korean robotics are top-tier but like US, a lot of the component supply still comes from China. The United States should prioritize a…
5 postsThe US navy to blockade any ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.…Apr 12, 2026$VIRT$INTU$RDDT
The US navy to blockade any ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz. Not quite sure what the game plan is here? Regardless, I completely…
@pocimont It's nuanced, I do think companies like $INTU are going to get slightly disrupted by Claude and others doing taxes + filing for you. And it'…
@b00gersburner @pocimont I use quickbooks as well, but there's going to be a lot of upcoming startup competitors (and cheaper or even free/open source…
@LawrenceKenshin not early anymore, but definitely not late on $VIRT. Already up 40%+ last 3 months, which would have been 1000%+ returns. probably n…
@jpm7019 Markets are more resilient than people think. Obviously escalation is concerning, but there's too many people short right now (which adds f…
5 postsIt still baffles me how people are still “Buying the Dip” on $IREN. Amid their …Apr 2, 2026$IREN
It still baffles me how people are still “Buying the Dip” on $IREN. Amid their $6,000,0000,000 ATM, diluted and sold into the open market. Thinking…
@Belfort_Trading $IREN share price doesn’t matter. What matters is marketcap. The price could be $17 in a few months while MC stays same. TA’s don’…
@VinnyPolansky It does help that tens of $IREN holders create new X accounts just to spam my comments
@CaesarCapitalz If $IREN can monetize their raw assets through capex-light colo or after the dilution is finished. Otherwise, there's no point of "tr…
@thekriskay Good to know about the newsletter. Yeah $NBIS is up 5%+ today while $IREN is still red (possibly because of dilution capping upside).
5 posts"Bottleneck within a Bottleneck": Indium Phosphide $AXTI | $SMTOY is a duopoly.…Dec 29, 2025$AXTI$SMTOY$COHR
"Bottleneck within a Bottleneck": Indium Phosphide $AXTI | $SMTOY is a duopoly. They control 60%+ of the world's InP substrates as the bottleneck o…
@gunnaosrs Don’t think hyperscalers understand the danger yet. $COHR is the leading “virtually integrated” American company. But the risk is it’s stil…
@RyanMDorsey23 This is a research note on point failure of the entire AI buildout in $AXTI/China from both substrate production and laser-grade Indium…
@DonkeyCapital69 Uhh, from my own personal research so far, to cover all grounds I’ve liked: 1. $AXTI at the very bottom of the entire supply chain +…
@brandy117 The claims were mindblowing controlling 40% of the world's Indium Phosphide supply chain. Especially when photonic components depend on th…
5 postsLOL. I’m honestly laughing there’s new media articles for each one of my X posts…Jun 4, 2026$SIVE$IQE
LOL. I’m honestly laughing there’s new media articles for each one of my X posts. I appreciate any objective coverage though since it helps combat a …
@Suu766 我完全同意!非常感谢任何对我观点的报道。 不过他们给我的头衔有点过誉了,哈哈。
@Suu766 我完全同意!我非常感谢新闻媒体,尤其是当他们能客观地报道我的想法时。 不过,他们给我的那个称号实在有点太过誉了,哈哈!
@MikeBaumgart1 It’s a bit hard for major companies to go about acquiring CHIPS act funded companies like $SIVE on a whim. Or $IQE with gov ties. Lot …
@BlockBeatsAsia Thank you for the coverage! I really appreciate it helping share a lot of my ideas.
4 posts$SIVE is the largest beneficiary of brand new events this weekend: 1. Sivers ne…May 25, 2026$SIVE
$SIVE is the largest beneficiary of brand new events this weekend: 1. Sivers new NASDAQ index inclusion (OMX Stockholm): Both Vanguard and Blackrock…
@thereeldinesh It’s only up ~15%. Google’s viewer somehow adds Friday’s returns.
@ThriveSnap $SIVE is extremely early. Before it was mainly retail. All the institutional capital are about to enter soon, as seen with all the index …
@IkaKnight_ Serenity Knight sounds like a pretty cool name.
4 postsAI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $N…May 24, 2026$AXTI$SOI$SIVE
AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. You're not bullish enough. And it mi…
@M3Invest You're comparing Sumitomo finished InP substrates vs AXT. $AXTI owns many many material chokepoints upstream required to make the finished…
@Fletche33881557 Nope, $NVDA said $3-4T annual spend. Not value. https://t.co/sKg5gA2RZO
@vas_203 $SIVE (laser), Foci (fau/optical components), Shunsin (packaging/test), MSSCorp (yields) are personally my favorites right now for CPO relate…
4 posts$IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46. I wonder if one of the dumbest communitie…May 19, 2026$IREN$NBIS$AEHR
$IREN back down -34% from $70 to $46. I wonder if one of the dumbest communities on X finally learned to read? $NBIS is objectively the better Neocl…
@ryansfinance Think you’re forgetting $NBIS went from $90 -> $235 -> $180. $AEHR went from $25 -> $110 -> $77 While $IREN went from $45 …
@IggyPacoRico1 I see no reason to long $IREN today when upside is structurally capped with excessive and toxic dilution structures. $AAOI would have …
@pepemoonboy Almost like legalized theft for each of them because the excessive ATMs are disclosed then a certain someone promotes retail to buy into …
4 posts@MindQuest42 Sweden is literally like: "it's all over for Sivers" Next day: US …May 19, 2026$SIVE
@MindQuest42 Sweden is literally like: "it's all over for Sivers" Next day: US government gives $SIVE 6.6M CHIPS ACT award lol.
@Clearingkarma17 $SIVE just got MSCI inclusion and that's another likely tens of millions buying pressure in 2 weeks. Then there's new $6.6M CHIPS AC…
@JonasEmre7 $SIVE short interest is around ~17% of free float apparently from some third party data, which is enormous (probably higher after yesterda…
@ram_blings I personally think $SIVE ends up a $10B+ company in 2027, so 8-10x. $LITE did go from $2.8B to $80B in 2 years, so not really impossibl…
4 postsJust 3 months ago, European media called my $RPI thesis: "A Meme Stock" where e…May 12, 2026$RPI$SOI$SIVE
Just 3 months ago, European media called my $RPI thesis: "A Meme Stock" where earnings isn't factored into decisions. 2 months ago, $SOI was labele…
@mur60674 Hey great question! So $SIVE headcount doesn't matter as much when you're doing IP/design. Lot of media misunderstand nuances, when they c…
@mohitjandwani The 2.5% dilution to get listed on NASDAQ is actually extremely bullish with $SIVE, and I see it heading to $3B+ once its trading on US…
@SharkSociety_ Nothings changed with Auros and I find it compelling at current prices. It's just waiting on SK Hynix/Samsung volume ramp sometime H2 f…
4 posts$AAOI files for another $250 million USD ATM, upping the amount to $500 million.…Mar 12, 2026$AAOI
$AAOI files for another $250 million USD ATM, upping the amount to $500 million. The positive note is: $AAOI has already finished their first ATM. …
@ethaantran It doesn’t change my bullish thesis around $378/month US supply chain from laser -> design -> assembly being very mispriced at $8B with $A…
@Temptemo95 It’s usually better to just hold stocks long term and forget about it. As you never know if there’s going to be a surprise hyperscaler dea…
@nicomejia_ It happens. My guess is they’re probably selling $250m worth around $100 again like their previous ATM. Short term bearish, long term lik…
4 posts专门写给我的中文读者: 绿的谐波(LeaderDrive,688017,577.3亿人民币)是我在布局人形机器人赛道时最青睐的中国上市标的。 他们的业务涵盖…Jun 5, 2026$688017
专门写给我的中文读者: 绿的谐波(LeaderDrive,688017,577.3亿人民币)是我在布局人形机器人赛道时最青睐的中国上市标的。 他们的业务涵盖: 谐波减速器(据称占有超过60%的国内市场份额,以及1800多家全球客户) 人形机器人旋转关节减速器 直线执行器 电机/关节,以及…
@solsniper330 绿的谐波(688017)打入了所有主流人形机器人开发商的供应链,所以我非常看好这家公司,哪怕我并没有它的持仓 https://t.co/NgDq3Bm6Ya
@Tang8vrb 抱歉,我会去研究更多大家都能买到的股票!我只是想分享一下我最喜欢的一只。
@dean16889 (disclosure: I don't own shares of Leaderdrive, I'm just publishing my research for free). For LeaderDrive, it's a material percentage of…
4 postsiamai兄提到了一个非常好的话题、值得深度探讨下。个人角度粗浅理解,如果AI能大幅度促进货币流通速度,那意味着有一个情景大概率是实现了:就是智能经济体或者机器…Jun 4, 2026
iamai兄提到了一个非常好的话题、值得深度探讨下。个人角度粗浅理解,如果AI能大幅度促进货币流通速度,那意味着有一个情景大概率是实现了:就是智能经济体或者机器经济时代真的到来了。 AI对货币流通速度的影响,这里直接指向经济学经典公式MV=PQ(货币数量论)中的 V(货币流通速度)。 1)V = …
@Rickylu88 但就看未来的演化了。现实货币锚定的稳定币,或者新的货币形态都是有可能的。
@tychozzz 我也认为payment用稳定币是一个有很大空间的场景,然后稳定币在替代swift上可能性也很大。circle的那个CPN目的就是搞这个嘛。
@Hamburgerai 你这个对比要看时间维度,十年前支付宝(作为淘系代表)+微信支付大规模普及,相比2014年之前已经把货币流通速度拉到很高。现在抖音跟十年前在本质上并没有质的飞跃但也整体增长也不小。
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