NVDA Β· NVIDIA CorporationNVIDIA Corporation
π CPU supply shortage driving price hikes and capex increases, benefiting CPU makers and foundry
CPU supply shortage driving price hikes and capex increases, benefiting CPU makers and foundry.
Evidence & details
- +UDN reported upward revision in volume
- +Foxconn began shipping CPO switch racks to NVDA
- +CPO products produced in Foxconn's Vietnam plant, where Shunsin has been aggressively expanding for CPO
- β‘CPO volume ramp driven by NVDA orders
- β‘Foxconn's strategic support and investment in Bac Giang facility
Chart
Post Timeline Β· 5 posts
Highly bullish implications today for Shunsin (6451). Which is Foxconnβs SiPH and CPO packaging/test arm. -> UDN reported upward revision in volume and Foxconn began shipping cpo switch racks to $NVDA -> CPO products are being produced in Foxconn's Vietnam plantβ¦ Guess whicβ¦
Thesis: Shunsin is Foxconn's SiPH and CPO packaging/test arm, now benefiting from CPO volume ramp as Foxconn ships CPO switch racks to NVDA and expands Vietnam facility, indicating start of massive growth.
Kevin Warsh is the next Federal Reserve Chair. Markets may confuse him as a "Hawk". His actual stance in 2026 is nuanced. Here's his policies and how they affect the markets: 1. AI/Semis ( $NVDA, $MU): Extremely Bullish 2. Metals (Silver, Gold): Extreme Bearish 3. Crypto ( β¦
Thesis: Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, β¦
Thinking about buying $CRWV on the $NVDA deal? Here's the way to think about it: A casino gives you more money, so you could take on more debt with collateral to gamble. Then all the extra money goes back to the Casino (aka. $NVDA). That doesn't make Coreweave a good long. β¦
Thesis: CoreWeave's deal with Nvidia is analogous to a casino giving more money to gamble, leading to increased debt that ultimately benefits Nvidia. CoreWeave is not a good long due to high debt and interestβ¦
@EarningsMindset Yeah, the topic was about how the TPU v7 Ironwood is the first competitive alternative to $NVDA and performs better for specific inference workloads. The current $NVDA backlog is a security guarantee for medium term. It's just a question of whether TPUs continueβ¦
Thesis: TPU v7 Ironwood is a competitive alternative to NVDA GPUs for inference, but next-gen NVDA likely maintains lead; bear case if TPUs outperform, demand shifts, and AI compute demand lessens.
@LoganMacGregor9 Good question about risk, I enjoy talking about the downsides too. 1. Hyperscalers completely their own datacenter buildout with GPUs (TPUs with $GOOGL, Tranium with $AWS), energy, locations in 5+ years. This is the analogy of Qualcomm with Apple. Apple just uβ¦
Thesis: Lists four main risks for NBIS and other AI infrastructure companies: hyperscaler vertical integration, GPU depreciation, credit tightening/dilution, and overbuildout due to software efficiency breaktβ¦
These stocks are oversold and have strong fundamentals, making them candidates for mean reversion rallies.
source βA comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.
source βWalmart's P/E ratio is comparable to Nvidia's, which is illogical given Walmart is a low-margin reseller while Nvidia is at the center of AI boom.
source βNVDA's partnership with Hyundai for FSD and mass production of Atlas from Boston Dynamics.
source βCoreWeave's deal with Nvidia is analogous to a casino giving more money to gamble, leading to increased debt that ultimately benefits Nvidia. CoreWeave is not a good long due to high debt and interest payments, while Nvidia is the better bet.
source βKevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, pro-deregulation, and rate-cut stance.
source βMarket liquidation cascades from silver crash and hawkish Fed nomination fears, but overall fundamentals remain bullish with expected rate cuts and AI growth. Recommend repositioning to FCF-generating names and being cautious on speculative high-beta names.
source βHyperscaler AI capex is increasing dramatically, benefiting AI supply chain companies, especially ASICs, memory, and key enablers like TSM and NVDA. Hidden beneficiaries like AAOI, POET, MRVL, LITE also benefit.
source βTesla Optimus bottlenecks identified: Real World Intelligence (NVDA), The Hand (possibly VPG), and Scale Manufacturing (Chinese suppliers).
source βHyperscalers going into debt for AI capex benefits chip suppliers like NVDA, TSM, AVGO as they transfer balance sheets to them.
source βThe 1 million job revision signals a permanent structural shift due to AI/automation, not a slowing economy. Corporate profits will explode as companies replace human labor with AI and robotics. Investors should buy AI supply chain equities to hedge against unemployment and benefit from margin expansion.
source βTrump administration proposal for AI chip export permits is unlikely to pass; current selloff is overreaction.
source βUS Commerce Department denies return to AI diffusion rule, countering negative reporting that caused sell-off in semis, supporting NVDA and AMD.
source βPortfolio designed to profit from a doomsday scenario involving US ground troops in Iran and Iranian retaliation, with specific positions betting on financial crisis, oil spike, tech crash, Lucid collapse, volatility, and Nvidia decline.
source βNvidia at $4.1T market cap faces downside risk from liquidity crunch and energy crisis exacerbated by potential Iran escalation, with Israel maintaining conflict stance.
source βNvidia prefers SIVE independent, but potential share acquisition by MRVL or acquisition by AVGO to choke competitors' CPO roadmap.
source βNVIDIA is aggressively advancing its CPO (co-packaged optics) architectural roadmap and securing major industry players into its standards, positioning itself to lead in photonics.
source βSpeculation that NVDA buying a stake in Win Semi would be bullish due to Win Semi's history of attracting strategic investments like from AVGO.
source βLITE sold out into 2029 with CPO mass production confirmed for H2 2026; NVDA upstream supply chain for CPO/photonics benefits.
source βCPU supply shortage driving price hikes and capex increases, benefiting CPU makers and foundry.
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