πŸ“‹ Expecting IQE to triple or more, but disappointed with current performance; still holding hope

medium convictionFirst mentioned May 18, 2026 at $39.10

Expecting IQE to triple or more, but disappointed with current performance; still holding hope.

Evidence & details
Evidence
  • +Jensen Huang projection of AI capex reaching $3-4 trillion annually by 2030
  • +List of companies and their specific roles in AI infrastructure
Catalysts
  • ⚑Exponential increase in AI capex
  • ⚑Shift to silicon photonics and CPO
  • ⚑Expansion of neoclouds and memory demand
Risks
  • βˆ’Execution risk for small companies
  • βˆ’Competition from larger players
  • βˆ’Technological disruption

Chart

Post Timeline Β· 2 posts

new thesishigh

AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. You're not bullish enough. And it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom: -> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics. -> …

Thesis: AI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, an…

view on X β†—AXTI Β· SOI Β· SIVE Β· IQE Β· NBIS Β· MU Β· SNDK
new thesishigh

When I see comments like this (and there are a lot) from retail investors: I immediately think they lack the technical depth. I'll walk through each one from $SIVE to $LPK: 1. Photonics TAM goes from $14B -> $154B In just two years time, and it's likely going to keep scaling…

Thesis: Post presents bullish theses on four photonics/advanced packaging plays: SIVE (CW laser supplier, expected to become next LITE), LPK (glass substrates, pure exposure, upcoming volume ramp), AAOI (larg…

view on X β†—SIVE Β· LPK Β· AAOI Β· IQE
Current Price
$49.75
via cornerstones
Return from entry
+27.24%
entry May 18, 2026 @ $39.10
Signal-day returns
+7 days+35.55%
Thesis Lifecycle
πŸ“
updatedApr 12, 2026+1 conv

IQE has performed well with institutional validation.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 12, 2026+1 conv

Point 72 and other institutions are buying at all-time highs, indicating a fundamentally sound thesis for $AXTI and $IQE.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 12, 2026

Revisiting original thesis: IQE could 10x to $1B+ by refocusing on photonics and completing asset sales to clean up balance sheet, compared to landmark (LAND) at $3.8B with less reactor capacity.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 13, 2026+1 conv

Point72 and other institutions are buying up the float of IQE at all-time highs, causing the stock to go parabolic.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 15, 2026

European frontier companies like IQE, SIVE, ALRIB, SOI, and RPI are undervalued national security gems, with strong YTD performance, but local investors sell at the bottom while American investors benefit. The companies have potential for scaling production for US hyperscalers.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 16, 2026

Expects critical chokepoint supply chain companies to compound triple digits as institutional capital pours in, especially $SIVE after Nasdaq listing.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 19, 2026-1 conv

Reaffirms long-term bullish thesis on a basket of semiconductor and related stocks, noting that short-term entry points vary but overall market validation continues.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 19, 2026+1 conv

IQE is at the beginning of institutional discovery stage, with Point72 buying last week. Despite already being up a few hundred percent, it is still early.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 26, 2026-1 conv

AI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 27, 2026+1 conv

IQE is a structural chokepoint in the photonics supply chain, and MTSI's $45M investment with board seat validates this while securing long-term epiwafer supply.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 27, 2026

MTSI taking IQE out of debt and becoming a strategic investor is incredibly positive for IQE.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 27, 2026-1 conv

MTSI plans to invest $45M into IQE, buy them out of debt, and become a strategic investor, which is a positive development for IQE as it addresses financial overhang and validates IQE's strategic position.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 30, 2026+1 conv

Institutions are accumulating silicon photonics plays ($SOI, $IQE) as structural chokepoints in AI, validating the user's earlier thesis.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 30, 2026-1 conv

IQE's arrangement with MTSI to pay off debts is fundamentally different from SLNH's dilutive ATM, implying a stronger financial position for IQE.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 13, 2026

Buy these stocks at the bottom for full supercycle exposure as markets are forward-looking and will price in future scaling from 2026 to 2028.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 17, 2026+1 conv

Post presents bullish theses on four photonics/advanced packaging plays: SIVE (CW laser supplier, expected to become next LITE), LPK (glass substrates, pure exposure, upcoming volume ramp), AAOI (largest US photonics supply chain, 1.6T wave), IQE (critical epiwafer supplier, bottlenecked, undervalued). All are long-term holds due to the photonics supercycle and AI scaling.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 20, 2026-2 conv

Export controls on Rasa/NCI to halt China's InP substrate production would cause collateral damage to IQE and LITE, while controls on Ulvac and other chokepoints for humanoid production have less collateral harm.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 20, 2026+2 conv

European photonics companies SIVE, IQE, and SOI are core players hitting double digit recoveries; dips are likely to be bought out.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 24, 2026

AI capex growth to $3-$4 trillion annually by 2030 will benefit companies controlling key AI buildout components: photonics, silicon photonics, laser chokepoints, epiwafer supply chains, neoclouds, and memory.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 25, 2026

Expecting IQE to triple or more, but disappointed with current performance; still holding hope.

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