🔬 The author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors

high convictionFirst mentioned Jul 3, 2025

The author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors.

Evidence & details
Evidence
  • +Down -23.87% premarket after a new $300M ATM dilution
  • +Feb 2024: registered direct offering of ~1.4M shares + warrants
  • +Jul 2025: public offering of ~6.75M shares at ~$10 per share (60%+ discount) when stock was trading ~$24
  • +September: Mike Alfred joins and posts daily, followed by executive dilution awards of 24%
  • +Today: $300M ATM when market cap is only ~$500M
Catalysts
  • New $300M ATM dilution announced
  • Influencer promotion creating FOMO before dilution
Risks
  • Further dilution from remaining ATM capacity or future offerings
  • Continued capital destruction for retail holders

Chart

Post Timeline · 5 posts

risk signal

The community / influencers shilling $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST are the most delusional and harmful group on X. Markets are the greatest arbiter of truth. If something is down 99%. And the next stock they try pushing has a $6,000,000,000 active dilution. And you show that it’s …

Thesis: Warns that stocks promoted by influencers (IREN, BKKT, ASST) are dangerous due to extreme dilution and poor performance, making investors exit liquidity.

view on X ↗IREN · BKKT · ASST
noise

@weary_centurion Thanks and sorry to hear that. I’m just trying to give justified warnings about ATM dilution. I did the same with $BKKT last year before ATMs sent everyone’s shares to oblivion. But got the same personal attacks like I’m getting with $IREN now. Regardless stil…

Thesis: No new thesis; user reflects on past ATM dilution warnings for $BKKT and $IREN.

risk signalmedium

@hoiyeahhhh Across $BKKT, $ASST, and maybe $IREN. The strategy has been identical. Generate massive retail hype around a hot narrative (Bitcoin treasuries, AI agents, DCs), wait for the stock to spike, and immediately dump shares via ATMs to fund operations and pay executive SB…

Thesis: Management across these companies uses a strategy of generating retail hype around hot narratives, then dumping shares via ATMs to fund operations and executive compensation, hurting retail shareholde…

view on X ↗BKKT · ASST · IREN
thesis updatehigh

$BKKT is down -23.87% premarket after a new $300M ATM dilution. In my opinion, this is one of the worst companies in the entire market. I feel sorry for people who followed a certain influencer at $45 since retail portfolios are now wiped over 64%. There’s an endless cycle …

Thesis: BKKT has a toxic financing structure that repeatedly dilutes retail shareholders through ATM offerings and discounted placements, leading to significant capital destruction.

risk signalmedium

It's funny how the most followed stock accounts on X like @mikealfred hide replies about inconvenient facts and block accounts. That’s exactly why I created this account — to call out BS and genuinely help you all. This is what they tried hiding: $BKKT has a long track record o…

Thesis: BKKT has a pattern of diluting shareholders through discounted offerings, causing losses for retail investors.

Current Price
$11.00
via cornerstones
Return from entry
entry Jul 3, 2025
Thesis Lifecycle
👀
watchedJul 3, 2025

BKKT has high short interest (21%+) and crypto companies are performing well, making a small position potentially worthwhile but not recommended to chase.

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📝
updatedJul 3, 2025

BKKT has negative net operating income loss but Bitcoin appreciation and cost cutting could help. Moonshot scenario of 10x market cap or bankruptcy.

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🟢
openedAug 31, 2025+1 conv

Each listed ticker is a moonshot basket targeting 1000% returns in 5 years based on current valuations and specified target market caps.

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📝
updatedSep 24, 2025

Baker Hughes stock is being diluted repeatedly through share offerings, destroying shareholder value. Management uses marketing to attract investors then dilutes.

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📝
updatedSep 24, 2025

BKKT has a history of diluting shareholders; it follows a cycle of hype leading to stock price increase followed by dilution far below current prices, screwing over shareholders.

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📝
updatedSep 24, 2025

BKKT has a pattern of diluting shareholders through discounted offerings, causing losses for retail investors.

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📝
updatedJan 21, 2026+1 conv

BKKT has a toxic financing structure that repeatedly dilutes retail shareholders through ATM offerings and discounted placements, leading to significant capital destruction.

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📝
updatedJan 21, 2026-1 conv

Company is conducting a $300 million ATM offering, issuing more than 65% of existing market cap, leading to significant dilution and downward pressure on the stock.

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📝
updatedJan 24, 2026+1 conv

Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.

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📝
updatedMar 8, 2026-1 conv

Management across these companies uses a strategy of generating retail hype around hot narratives, then dumping shares via ATMs to fund operations and executive compensation, hurting retail shareholders.

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📝
updatedApr 12, 2026-1 conv

Warns that stocks promoted by influencers (IREN, BKKT, ASST) are dangerous due to extreme dilution and poor performance, making investors exit liquidity.

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📝
updatedApr 12, 2026+2 conv

The author warns against $IREN, $BKKT, and $ASST due to excessive dilution from ATMs, leading to significant losses for retail investors.

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💤
dormantMay 29, 2026

No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.