πŸ“‹ Intel's 18A process is ahead of Samsung's SF2 in geometry control and consistency, based on TEM analysis by Geekerwan

medium convictionFirst mentioned Jan 1, 2026

Intel's 18A process is ahead of Samsung's SF2 in geometry control and consistency, based on TEM analysis by Geekerwan.

Evidence & details
Evidence
  • +Geekerwan’s TEM analysis shows Samsung’s 2026 SF2 lags behind Intel’s 2025 18A in geometry control and process consistency.
Catalysts
  • ⚑Potential customer wins due to process advantage
  • ⚑Market perception of Intel's manufacturing leadership
Risks
  • βˆ’Competition from TSMC
  • βˆ’Execution risk in scaling 18A

Chart

Post Timeline Β· 1 posts

new thesismedium

Bruh, according to Geekerwan’s TEM analysis, Samsung’s 2026 SF2 still lags slightly behind Intel’s 2025 18A in terms of geometry control and process consistency. $INTC https://t.co/fsL07lJHhJ

Thesis: Intel's 18A process is ahead of Samsung's SF2 in geometry control and consistency, based on TEM analysis by Geekerwan.

Current Price
$120.89
via cornerstones
Return from entry
β€”
entry Jan 1, 2026
Thesis Lifecycle
πŸ“
updatedJan 21, 2026

Intel is an asymmetrical long due to potential White House support, implying favorable government policy or funding.

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updatedJan 21, 2026

Intel is backed by the White House and major tech companies, increasing likelihood of success.

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πŸ“
updatedJan 23, 2026

The fundamental theses for INTC (White House policy/National Security), AXTI (InP bottleneck), and VPG (Optimus ramp) remain intact; despite short-term volatility, investors should wait for catalysts to play out.

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πŸ“
updatedJan 24, 2026+1 conv

Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.

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πŸ“
updatedFeb 11, 2026-1 conv

Recommendation to ride semiconductor capex trends by investing in key memory, photonics, and advanced packaging tickers.

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πŸ“
updatedMar 22, 2026

Intel's sale of its silicon photonics segment to Jabil in 2023 was likely a mistake given the upcoming photonics supercycle.

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updatedMar 22, 2026

Intel's 2023 sale of its pluggable optical transceiver silicon photonics segment to Jabil at a cheap price is criticized as a poor strategic decision given the subsequent photonics supercycle.

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updatedMar 24, 2026

Elon Musk is more likely to succeed in building a foundry (Terafab) than Intel is with its merchant foundry, given his track record with complex projects like reusable rockets.

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updatedMar 24, 2026

Long term bullish on INTC due to government downside protection and national interest, but requires patience as it is not a high-growth stock.

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updatedMar 28, 2026

Bullish on multiple high-growth tech stocks including AAOI, NBIS, ARM, MRVL, SIVE, AMZN, RDDT, INTC, AMKR based on revenue ramp and long-term potential.

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πŸ“
updatedMar 28, 2026+1 conv

The post outlines a portfolio of long positions across optical, AI, semiconductors, energy, and other sectors, with specific revenue ramp projections and long-term bets.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 9, 2026-1 conv

List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 22, 2026

INTC is a beneficiary of U.S. government subsidies to secure advanced semiconductor supply chain sovereignty.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 23, 2026

CPU supply shortage driving price hikes and capex increases, benefiting CPU makers and foundry.

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updatedApr 23, 2026

Intel is benefiting from strong semi earnings, the 'Made in America' push, CPU bottlenecks, and positive momentum with Intel Foundry.

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πŸ“
updatedApr 26, 2026

AI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 9, 2026+1 conv

Recent semiconductor developments indicate bullish opportunities across multiple tickers: Intel benefits from Apple shift, Micron from memory tightness and price increases, TSM from revenue growth, NBIS from compute demand, LPK from glass substrate acceleration, and SanDisk from NAND price rise.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 22, 2026-1 conv

Believes INTC, RKLB, and NBIS will survive and grow over the long term, suggesting a buy-and-hold strategy without new positions.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 28, 2026

Intel is accelerating its foundry revival through large-scale investment in advanced packaging (EMIB), which could help attract customers and compete with TSMC.

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πŸ“
updatedMay 28, 2026

Intel's 18A process is ahead of Samsung's SF2 in geometry control and consistency, based on TEM analysis by Geekerwan.

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