INTC · Intel CorporationIntel Corporation

The fundamental theses for INTC (White House policy/National Security), AXTI (InP bottleneck), and VPG (Optimus ramp) remain intact; despite short-term volatility, investors should wait for catalysts to play out.

Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.

Recommendation to ride semiconductor capex trends by investing in key memory, photonics, and advanced packaging tickers.

Intel's sale of its silicon photonics segment to Jabil in 2023 was likely a mistake given the upcoming photonics supercycle.

Intel's 2023 sale of its pluggable optical transceiver silicon photonics segment to Jabil at a cheap price is criticized as a poor strategic decision given the subsequent photonics supercycle.

Elon Musk is more likely to succeed in building a foundry (Terafab) than Intel is with its merchant foundry, given his track record with complex projects like reusable rockets.

Long term bullish on INTC due to government downside protection and national interest, but requires patience as it is not a high-growth stock.

Bullish on multiple high-growth tech stocks including AAOI, NBIS, ARM, MRVL, SIVE, AMZN, RDDT, INTC, AMKR based on revenue ramp and long-term potential.

The post outlines a portfolio of long positions across optical, AI, semiconductors, energy, and other sectors, with specific revenue ramp projections and long-term bets.

List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.

INTC is a beneficiary of U.S. government subsidies to secure advanced semiconductor supply chain sovereignty.

CPU supply shortage driving price hikes and capex increases, benefiting CPU makers and foundry.

Intel is benefiting from strong semi earnings, the 'Made in America' push, CPU bottlenecks, and positive momentum with Intel Foundry.

AI hyperscaler demand is causing widespread supply chain bottlenecks across semiconductors, materials, and infrastructure components, benefiting companies exposed to CPUs, semiconductor equipment, photoresists, grid components, optical modules, and photonics.

Recent semiconductor developments indicate bullish opportunities across multiple tickers: Intel benefits from Apple shift, Micron from memory tightness and price increases, TSM from revenue growth, NBIS from compute demand, LPK from glass substrate acceleration, and SanDisk from NAND price rise.

Believes INTC, RKLB, and NBIS will survive and grow over the long term, suggesting a buy-and-hold strategy without new positions.

Intel is accelerating its foundry revival through large-scale investment in advanced packaging (EMIB), which could help attract customers and compete with TSMC.

Intel's 18A process is ahead of Samsung's SF2 in geometry control and consistency, based on TEM analysis by Geekerwan.

Morgan Stanley reports Intel 18A yield at 50% and Apple as only signed customer, indicating progress but limited customer base.

MediaTek's next-generation program exclusively adopting Intel's EMIB-T technology, shifting from previous parallel use with CoWoS, indicating a significant win for Intel's advanced packaging.