HIMS Β· Hims & Hers Health, Inc.Hims & Hers Health, Inc.
π Bullish on TTD, HIMS, and RDDT with specific price targets: TTD 40-50% upside to low 30s, HIMS mean reversion to $40, RDDT recovery to $200+ in better macro
Bullish on TTD, HIMS, and RDDT with specific price targets: TTD 40-50% upside to low 30s, HIMS mean reversion to $40, RDDT recovery to $200+ in better macro.
Evidence & details
- +CEO of HIMS announces partnership with NVO
- +Bloomberg report confirmation
- +40%+ of float sold short
- β‘Partnership announcement
- β‘Potential short squeeze from retail vs short sellers
- βRetail capitulation
- βShort sellers may maintain positions
Chart
Post Timeline Β· 4 posts
Just in: CEO of $HIMS announces partnership with $NVO. This is confirmation of the report on Friday from Bloomberg. With 40%+ of the float sold short and transparency around the Novo partnership: This next week will end up as a battleground stock for: Retail vs. Short Seller.β¦
Thesis: Partnership with Novo Nordisk confirmed, high short interest (40%+ of float) could trigger a short squeeze reminiscent of GameStop.
@R1chardMaur1ce $HIMS got sued to oblivion by $NVO and the US GOV. Compound weight loss drugs was their primary avenue for revenue growth and potential lawsuit means red flags for their balance sheet. If the lawsuit fell through, $HIMS would likely recover. That chart means β¦
Thesis: HIMS faces a lawsuit from NVO and the US government over compound weight loss drugs, which poses a significant risk to its primary revenue growth avenue and balance sheet.
@DeepValueBagger Yeah I trimmed $HIMS around $60, but this is pretty material with the government competing with it. At the same time I'd aruge the audience is sticky + they have Zava acqusition tailwind second half + 33% short interest. So I'd just expect the price to hover aβ¦
Thesis: Trimmed HIMS around $60 due to government competition, but sticky audience and Zava acquisition provide tailwinds; expect price to hover near current levels as shorts may cover.
True story: I had lunch with a former Citi sellside analyst the other day. He told me they pull numbers out of thin air so they can get along better at the corporate events and investors dinners. Unfortunately their partners are short $4.5B+ on $HIMS and ppl know the PT is bs
Thesis: Anecdote about sellside analyst fabricating numbers and mention of large short position on HIMS, implying price target is unreliable.
Partnership with $NVO and dropped lawsuit provide revenue stream expansion and regulatory clarity, eliminating major legal risk.
source βHIMS' moat is network capture of retail audiences, enabling latent monetization streams similar to HOOD's cross-selling. Regulatory clarity from last Friday removes key risks, and the upside is clear if new monetization avenues are executed.
source βHIMS value is derived from its distribution network, not the drugs sold, similar to Amazon's delivery network.
source βHIMS has built a global retail healthcare distribution monopoly through acquisitions, and with regulatory clarity, has significant monetization potential.
source βHIMS stickiness is due to difficulty switching medical providers, not network effects, making it a moat.
source βHIMS is bullish due to its global distribution network built through M&A, with parallels to META's acquisition spree and HOOD's cross-selling capabilities.
source βHIMS has built a massive global healthcare retail network through strategic acquisitions (Zava, Livewell, Eucalyptus) without regulatory pushback, reminiscent of META's platform acquisitions and HOOD's cross-selling potential. Monetization of this distribution network is the key upside driver.
source βHIMS has built the largest independent global retail DTC distribution network through acquisitions, and with regulatory headwinds cleared (NVO partnership, FDA dropping threats), it can cross-sell products similar to HOOD, leading to significant revenue monetization.
source βValuing $HIMS based on distribution network and retail capture angle, not individual pill sales.
source βHIMS's main valuation is derived from its unique global retail DTC distribution network built via recent acquisitions, unlocking latent revenue streams similar to how HOOD scaled in financial industry.
source βHIMS has untapped revenue potential from its global DTC retail distribution moat, similar to META's early acquisitions and HOOD's cross-selling. After acquiring three major competitors without regulatory friction and with shorts trapped due to the NVO partnership and lawsuit termination, risk/reward favors going long.
source βRecent acquisitions give HIMS the global retail market for DTC healthcare, with latent cross-selling opportunities that are hard to model, making short selling extremely risky.
source βHIMS stock is up 64% with record short interest of 41.6%, creating potential for a violent squeeze if buying pressure and improving fundamentals continue. The company has strong tailwinds from global acquisitions (META-like), cross-selling opportunities (HOOD-like), and a surprise partnership with NVO. Personal conviction is high.
source βAndrew Huberman, a prominent figure in health, spotlighted $HIMS and said it was set to 'soar', implying a bullish outlook. The post also notes high short interest (41% of float), suggesting potential for a squeeze.
source βCombining HIMS' DTC distribution network with TEM's personalized sequencing and AI treatment into a scalable product could revolutionize personalized AI medicine, targeting the entire human population as TAM.
source βList of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.
source βAnnouncement is bullish catalyst for HIMS revenue re-acceleration, leveraging peptide market, DTC distribution, and high margins.
source βHIMS is down 44% despite multiple positive developments including NVO de-risking, global acquisitions, peptide arc endorsement, friendlier macro, and high short interest creating inherent buying pressure.
source βExpects HIMS to recover to at least $40 over time, building on prior de-risking and growth catalysts.
source βBullish on TTD, HIMS, and RDDT with specific price targets: TTD 40-50% upside to low 30s, HIMS mean reversion to $40, RDDT recovery to $200+ in better macro.
source β