BTC · Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETFGrayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
🔬 Bitcoin and RKLB are highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe; portfolio allocation into Bitcoin at $73K
Bitcoin and RKLB are highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe; portfolio allocation into Bitcoin at $73K.
Evidence & details
- +Warsh argues AI is a dis-inflationary force allowing rate cuts without inflation.
- +He supports crypto as a generational store of value and wants U.S. leadership in blockchain.
- +He advocates for rolling back Basel III capital requirements, benefiting banks.
- +He wants to reduce regulatory burden on small banks, benefiting small-caps.
- +For Europe, he is cautious due to strong dollar and energy costs.
- ⚡Warsh's appointment as Fed Chair
- ⚡Expected rate cuts and balance sheet reduction
- ⚡Deregulation of banking and crypto sectors
- −Balance sheet reduction may tighten liquidity despite rate cuts.
- −Unwinding MBS could push mortgage rates higher.
- −Strong dollar may hurt emerging markets and some foreign stocks.
Chart
Post Timeline · 3 posts
I feel like Bernstein and institutions missed a lot on why Bitcoin crashed. Same with WSJ + media, which is why nobody in retail knows. Two things: 1. “Clarity Act” + part of the Genius Act is a tactical nuke on crypto by banks + Gov to strengthen the dollar. “Safety” purpo…
Thesis: The US government's Clarity Act and CME margin hikes are destroying crypto liquidity and strengthening the dollar, but Bitcoin at current levels is cheap.
Kevin Warsh is the next Federal Reserve Chair. Markets may confuse him as a "Hawk". His actual stance in 2026 is nuanced. Here's his policies and how they affect the markets: 1. AI/Semis ( $NVDA, $MU): Extremely Bullish 2. Metals (Silver, Gold): Extreme Bearish 3. Crypto ( …
Thesis: Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, …
@soulbiri1 Lol the portfolio etf above id be comfortable 1.5x margin. I'd be fine trimming $ASTS after 32% recovery. I still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim for more $NBIS. Make sure to sell CC's!
Thesis: Trimming ASTS after 32% recovery; maintaining bullish stance on LTC and BTC at current prices; not adding NBIS.
Bitcoin LEAPS (2026-2027) have significant upside potential due to low implied volatility, USD debasement, global monetary expansion, and historical post-halving rallies in summer.
source ↗Bitcoin has high probability to reach $120k this year based on Polymarket odds (76%), and July/August is the best time to buy before seasonal weakness.
source ↗Portfolio adds and trades with reasoning for each ticker, including swing trades, DCA, and long-term holds.
source ↗Trimming ASTS after 32% recovery; maintaining bullish stance on LTC and BTC at current prices; not adding NBIS.
source ↗Both LTC and BTC are bullish. Tether printing money to buy Bitcoin supports BTC, and gold ATH is a tailwind. LTC at $8B market cap with ETF decision and new treasury companies has potential to 2-3x.
source ↗Post presents multiple bullish theses on NBIS, AMZN, META, SNAP, RDDT, SPRB, RKLB, AMD, TSM, ASML, BTC, LTC, VIRT, with a bearish view on CRWV. Key themes: NBIS dip buy, Mag7 catchup, recovery plays, speculative SPRB, hold RKLB, AMD/OpenAI deal boosting semis, gold signaling BTC, LTC ETF, and VIRT as hedge. Risks include dilution for SPRB and minimal NVDA moat dent.
source ↗High conviction longs with bullish outlooks on space, semiconductors, financial infrastructure, crypto, and AI infrastructure.
source ↗The author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.
source ↗Venezuela holds ~600K+ BTC ($60B+), likely to be seized by U.S. and locked up as frozen assets or strategic reserve, reducing liquid supply and supporting higher Bitcoin prices, bullish for MSTR and Bitcoin holders.
source ↗Venezuela regime change and bitcoin seizure, combined with expected GDP growth contribution from Venezuela lowering oil prices, is bullish for bitcoin and markets.
source ↗Venezuela may have converted gold sale proceeds into Bitcoin to bypass sanctions, potentially holding a large Bitcoin reserve.
source ↗Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair is expected to be bullish for AI/semis (NVDA, MU), crypto (BTC, CRCL), banking (JPM, BOA), small-caps (RUT), and cautious for European stocks (VGK, EZU), based on his pro-AI, pro-deregulation, and rate-cut stance.
source ↗Buy Bitcoin and Ethereum during Crypto Fear and Greed Index extreme fear (15) based on historical positive returns over 2 months.
source ↗Bitcoin and RKLB are highest conviction assets on a long term timeframe; portfolio allocation into Bitcoin at $73K.
source ↗No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.