BULL · Webull Corporation Class A Ordinary SharesWebull Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
🔬 Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc
Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.
Evidence & details
- +Post highlights active lockups for $BULL and 180-day lockup for $CRCL leading to limited float.
- ⚡Lockup expirations
- −Dilution from lockup unlocks
Chart
Post Timeline · 3 posts
@themomentumplay Because it’s genuinely harmful to newcomers when they see someone TA $BULL XYZ breakout to $200 when it was trading at a $50B MC. When those TA drawers didn’t account 99.5% of the float being unlocked the next week.
@soulbiri1 Yeah it’s kinda scary if 445 million shares get unlocked to sell for $BULL. I mean insiders dont need to sell but these types of unlocks are always pretty negative. It’s risky but return could pay off.
Thesis: The unlock of 445 million shares for $BULL poses a significant risk, as such unlocks are typically negative for the stock price, but there is potential for a payoff if the risk is taken.
People keep DMing me about new IPOs. Advice: PAY ATTENTION to dilution if you're short/long. $BULL is okay valued but there's active lockups people need to follow. $CRCL has a 180 day lockup as well, people are trading with limited floats, which is why it has a 40B MC. https://…
Thesis: Warns about dilution risk from lockups for IPOs, specifically $BULL and $CRCL.
Dilution from warrant redemption causes stock crashes, as seen with $BULL where warrants at $10 strike (priced at $4) were mispriced relative to stock at $30+.
source ↗Bullish on BULL due to 45% revenue growth similar to HOOD, strong retail base from WSB, and an outperform price target of $18. Short-term macro risk is noted but considered manageable.
source ↗Advises against using brokerages like $HOOD and $BULL due to payment for order flow routing to market makers.
source ↗Share unlock of 445 million shares (30% of float) creates material price pressure risk for BULL, with insider selling ahead of the event.
source ↗Still bullish on $BULL as a dip buy with covered calls despite the float unlock risk.
source ↗Markets are not always efficient; examples include arbitrage opportunity in $BULL shares vs warrants and undervalued $UPWK with low P/E and cash.
source ↗A comprehensive set of stock ratings for 2026, focusing on recovery plays from tax-loss harvesting and sector tailwinds in AI, semiconductors, data centers, and defense, while avoiding overvalued quantum and retail names.
source ↗Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.
source ↗No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.