CVX · Chevron CorporationChevron Corporation

Post-regime change in Venezuela, if Defense Minister accepts amnesty, it's a buy signal for companies like $ASHM (Venezuelan debt holder), $GHM/$MVZ.B (vacuum ejectors for crude, banks), $ENR/$AMTB (reconstruction beneficiaries), and $SU (substitute during collapse). $CVX faces asset risks.

Invest in Venezuela regime change through distressed debt (ASHM, HLI, LAZ), heavy crude infrastructure (TE, GHM), diluents (TRGP), banking (MVZ.A/B), and energy (CVX, VLO, PSX). Multiple sectors expected to benefit from reconstruction and oil revival.

Nation building in Venezuela after regime change presents opportunities in distressed debt (ASHM) and unlocked assets (CVX), with potential upside similar to Argentina post-regime change.

Nation building in Venezuela under US control will benefit ASHM and CVX due to re-rating and economic opportunities.

How to profit from US invasion of Venezuela and regime change through a basket of stocks.

CVX has become the de facto US national oil operator in Venezuela, with derisked assets that warrant a P/E multiple expansion, while VLO also benefits from immediate profit expansion.

Trump likely to subsidize US oil firms operating in Venezuela, benefiting Chevron, refiners processing Venezuelan crude, and service companies repairing pipelines. This reduces capex risk and is bullish for these companies.

US government subsidies for Chevron's Venezuela operations de-risk the company, allowing it to profit without heavy capex and boosting FCF.

VLO, AVAV, and CVX are the safest bets due to US government subsidies for development.

Shifting from fintech positions into power sector, bullish on utilities (XLU) and Chevron (CVX) via leaps.

AVAV and oil stocks like CVX are hedges for potential US-Iran conflict; if war occurs they likely outperform, otherwise other sectors outperform.

Israel's airstrike on Iran creates immediate bullish catalysts for energy and defense stocks due to increased geopolitical tensions and potential escalation.

CVX is expected to have significant positive movement around 2028, as markets are forward looking 6-12 months and 2028 is the timeframe for CVX to get going.

The post outlines a portfolio of long positions across optical, AI, semiconductors, energy, and other sectors, with specific revenue ramp projections and long-term bets.

Oil and LNG exporters are obvious longs in wartime, with low IV providing opportunity for gains if tensions escalate.

List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.

No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.