DPRO · Draganfly Inc.Draganfly Inc.
🔬 Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc
Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.
Evidence & details
- +ONDS forward EV/revenue multiple ~28x, while AVAV was 8-9x and in Replicator program
- +AIRO was at ~2.5x forward P/S when bought
- +DPRO might be at 2.8x from some revenue calculations
- ⚡Potential multiple compression for ONDS as peers trade at lower multiples
- ⚡Replicator program involvement for AVAV and AIRO
- −Personal opinion, not a formal analysis
- −Multiples may vary
- −Drones sector volatility
Chart
Post Timeline · 1 posts
@bennybigbull Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. I have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. (Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Onda…
Thesis: ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies (AVAV, DPRO, KTOS, AIRO) based on forward EV/revenue multiples. Other drone companies offer higher upside.
Greenland trade tensions will benefit US defense stocks $UAVS and $DPRO, while negatively impacting European pharma $NVO and luxury $LVMH.
source ↗ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies (AVAV, DPRO, KTOS, AIRO) based on forward EV/revenue multiples. Other drone companies offer higher upside.
source ↗Post asserts AVAV is the gold standard and already part of replicator, KTOS is also successful alongside it; AIRO offers highest potential for lowest downside risk in counter UAV replicator; DPRO is speculative with early-stage RKLB-like upside.
source ↗Buying defense and semiconductor-related stocks on dips due to market panic and potential Trump de-escalation.
source ↗Draganfly is a vertically integrated defense prime controlling the entire drone ecosystem, largest beneficiary of NDAA banning DJI, with embedded production via Micro-Factories at US bases, massive capacity ramp from $5M to $400M, partnerships with Global Ordnance and US Army, nonkinetic drones with potential kinetic applications, healthy balance sheet.
source ↗DPRO's infrastructure setup, large capacity ramp, and status as a subcontractor may lead to strong Q reports that algos might not price in.
source ↗DPRO benefits from both Canadian and US defense funding as an NDAA-compliant drone contractor, with potential in drone infrastructure buildout despite early-stage risks.
source ↗DPRO is a speculative bet on drone revenue recognition from capacity, but is incredibly risky given low revenue; position sizing is key.
source ↗Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.
source ↗No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.