FLNC · Fluence Energy, Inc.Fluence Energy, Inc.

Rotating into high-growth positions: AMD (forward revenue doubling), FLY (neocloud similar to RocketLab), WLAC (neocloud IPO with high margins), MU (memory demand from Stargate/OpenAI), FLNC/SEI/DFLI (energy and battery plays, high risk high reward). Trimming laggards for tax harvesting, will repurchase later.

Raising 1-year price target on NBIS to $450 and reiterating outperform on other stocks due to infinite energy consumption in the Neocloud space.

The author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.

Buying opportunity on neoclouds (NBIS, CIFR, WULF) with confirmed Mag7 contracts, AI buildout semis (TSM) with strong earnings, and energy (FLNC) benefiting from data center buildout.

Author presents a comprehensive trading plan for rate cut week, recommending longs in neocloud, semiconductors, and select other stocks while selling overvalued quantum, space, and crypto assets. Key macro view: market fear is an ideal entry point ahead of expected rate cut.

Data center buildout benefits FLNC, SEI, TE; rotation into neocloud sector via NBIS.

AI capex is exponentially ramping up and flowing directly to neoclouds, connectivity, energy, semi/foundries, and memory stocks, with multiple recent catalysts confirming record growth with no slowdown in sight.

Post-Fed rate cut analysis provides stock ratings with explanations: Strong Buy on stablecoin, semi, and growth plays; Buy on AI infrastructure and select recovery plays; Avoid on overvalued or fundamental-less stocks.

OpenAI memo to Congress warns that US must expand power grid to maintain AI advantage, reiterating tailwind for energy and power delivery companies, and second-order tailwind for companies with secured GW capacity.

FLNC is compelling at $3B valuation post-earnings due to $5.6B+ backlog de-risking growth, two direct hyperscaler framework deals likely to convert in Q3 2025, and a potential rerating catalyst. Stock is -50% from February highs, presenting an entry point.

Hyperscaler deals converting soon will cause shorts to derisk FLNC, adding buying pressure.

FLNC has two new hyperscaler deals not yet in backlog, which could be massive for the company given its size.

FLNC has two new hyperscaler deals, including a large contract with MSFT, which will cause a significant rerating for the company.

FLNC has two direct hyperscaler contracts coming up, and at its small market cap, these typically lead to a massive re-rating.

FLNC was undervalued, and with two hyperscaler deals added, the market is re-rating the company positively.

Expects FLNC to achieve triple-digit return within two months.

FLNC should be higher due to two direct hyperscaler contracts in one quarter, which is enormous and a leading indicator for more deals. High short interest adds pressure on shorts. Potential for a generational run if GOOGL signs.

FLNC is compelling due to incoming direct hyperscaler contracts, which are typically large.

Share unlock and transfer creates overhang and short term selling pressure, altering trade idea.

Float unlock creates psychological overhang for FLNC despite no actual dilution.