๐Ÿ“‹ Serenity is now calling crypto stocks; crypto assets have fallen to a value range while AI is in adjustment, suggesting a buying opportunity in COIN, HOOD, CRCL

medium convictionFirst mentioned Sep 5, 2025

Serenity is now calling crypto stocks; crypto assets have fallen to a value range while AI is in adjustment, suggesting a buying opportunity in COIN, HOOD, CRCL.

Evidence & details
Catalysts
  • โšกHypergrowth potential
Risks
  • โˆ’Potential 80% drawdown like HOOD
  • โˆ’Black swan scenario

Chart

Post Timeline ยท 2 posts

new thesismedium

@cmachdop Purely execution. $HOOD routes orders through MMs so you get worse fill. This compounds a ton when you write options when you lose thousands off fill vs a few dollars in fees.

Thesis: Robinhood's order routing through market makers leads to worse fills for options writers, causing significant losses compared to fee savings.

new thesishigh

@rknfshgdt If you wanted to chase more gains, I'd sell your Mag7 for hypergrowth stocks like $NBIS. If you have a family to take care of and can't take any risk, there's nothing bad about holding SPY/QQQ/Mag7 and just compounding more slowly over time. Answer depends on yourโ€ฆ

Thesis: Recommends selling Mag7 for hypergrowth stock NBIS, citing full conviction but acknowledging black swan risk.

Current Price
$88.33
via cornerstones
Return from entry
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entry Sep 5, 2025
Thesis Lifecycle
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updatedSep 11, 2025

HOOD launching banking is extremely disruptive and serves as a good catalyst, potentially leading to an overvalued market cap similar to PLTR.

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updatedSep 14, 2025+1 conv

Buy stocks ahead of concrete catalysts (S&P inclusion, dividend ex-date, ETF filing) to capture upside. Past examples show significant gains.

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updatedSep 28, 2025-2 conv

Advises against using brokerages like $HOOD and $BULL due to payment for order flow routing to market makers.

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updatedOct 12, 2025+2 conv

High conviction longs with bullish outlooks on space, semiconductors, financial infrastructure, crypto, and AI infrastructure.

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updatedOct 19, 2025

Author presents a comprehensive trading plan for rate cut week, recommending longs in neocloud, semiconductors, and select other stocks while selling overvalued quantum, space, and crypto assets. Key macro view: market fear is an ideal entry point ahead of expected rate cut.

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updatedOct 28, 2025-1 conv

Robinhood's order routing through market makers leads to worse fills for options writers, causing significant losses compared to fee savings.

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updatedNov 5, 2025+1 conv

AMD has extremely high upside potential based on NVDA's market cap and endorsements from Sam Altman and Elon Musk regarding utility for frontier models. HOOD is a generational company with high conviction long-term, though short-term overvalued.

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updatedNov 7, 2025-1 conv

High-beta growth stocks with intact fundamentals are expected to recover from the correction, while speculative names may stay down. Time to position into fundamentally sound high-beta stocks.

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updatedJan 1, 2026

Overview of 10 thematic investments for 2026, focusing on evolution, disruption, and bottlenecks in soft robotics, silicon photonics (InP bottleneck), glass substrates, money movement (disruption to card networks), AI cloud layers, LLM cybersecurity, LEO space infrastructure, consumer agentic workflows, distributed computing latency, and copper interconnect life extension. Expresses bullish views on specific companies and bearish on incumbent payment networks Visa and Bank of America.

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updatedJan 24, 2026+1 conv

Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.

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updatedFeb 2, 2026-2 conv

Added positions on the drop across multiple names due to price declines, expressing uncertainty about future direction.

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updatedFeb 11, 2026+1 conv

Short-term bearish on HOOD due to revenue deceleration, high forward P/E, and growth partly driven by acquisitions rather than organic feature monetization. Long-term potential remains but near-term headwinds likely keep stock rangebound.

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updatedFeb 17, 2026

Robinhood (HOOD) receives payments from market makers like Citadel to provide worse execution for retail options traders, exploiting uninformed flow.

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โš ๏ธ
review neededMar 7, 2026

The post warns that buying private fintechs at high valuations (e.g., Stripe, Revolt) while public fintechs like $HOOD are declining makes buyers exit liquidity.

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updatedApr 8, 2026-1 conv

Buying beaten-down names (MSFT, RDDT, HOOD, IBIT) as rate cut odds spike, suggesting a potential rebound.

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updatedApr 9, 2026+1 conv

List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.

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updatedApr 29, 2026

HOOD missed earnings due to misallocation of resources away from enabling international stock trading, losing retail to IBKR.

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updatedMay 29, 2026+1 conv

RobinhoodๆŽจๅ‡บAgentic TradingๅŠŸ่ƒฝๅ’Œ็‰นๆœ—ๆ™ฎ่ดฆๆˆท๏ผˆๅซๆˆดๅฐ”ๆๅŠฉ่ฎกๅˆ’๏ผ‰ๅฐ†ๅธฆๆฅๅคง้‡ๆ–ฐ็”จๆˆทๅ’Œ่ต„้‡‘๏ผŒๆœ€้ซ˜ๅฏ่พพ3900ไธ‡ไธชๅ„ฟ็ซฅๆŠ•่ต„่ดฆๆˆท๏ผŒๆ˜พ่‘—ๆๅ‡็”จๆˆทๅŸบ็ก€ๅ’Œ็ฒ˜ๆ€ง๏ผŒๆ˜ฏๅ…ฌๅธ่ถ…่ถŠๅ˜‰ไฟก็†่ดข็š„ๅ…ณ้”ฎไธ€ๆญฅใ€‚

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updatedJun 4, 2026-1 conv

Regulatory risks from Bank Lobbied Clarity Act threaten crypto companies' ability to offer yields and compete with banks, potentially harming liquidity and valuations, though swing trading opportunities may arise.

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updatedJun 4, 2026

Serenity is now calling crypto stocks; crypto assets have fallen to a value range while AI is in adjustment, suggesting a buying opportunity in COIN, HOOD, CRCL.

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