KTOS · Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
📋 Trump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1
Trump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.
Evidence & details
- +ONDS forward EV/revenue multiple ~28x, while AVAV was 8-9x and in Replicator program
- +AIRO was at ~2.5x forward P/S when bought
- +DPRO might be at 2.8x from some revenue calculations
- ⚡Potential multiple compression for ONDS as peers trade at lower multiples
- ⚡Replicator program involvement for AVAV and AIRO
- −Personal opinion, not a formal analysis
- −Multiples may vary
- −Drones sector volatility
Chart
Post Timeline · 1 posts
@bennybigbull Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. I have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. (Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Onda…
Thesis: ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies (AVAV, DPRO, KTOS, AIRO) based on forward EV/revenue multiples. Other drone companies offer higher upside.
US government directive to leave Iran implies direct intervention, similar to previous use of GBU-57A/B MOPs and US invasion of Venezuela. These 'Department of War' stocks are positioned to profit from a US invasion of Iran.
source ↗Greenland tariff dispute with Europe creates panic selling in US defense and semiconductor stocks, but these sectors are resilient and benefit from US national security and supply chain sovereignty, making them good dip-buying opportunities.
source ↗ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies (AVAV, DPRO, KTOS, AIRO) based on forward EV/revenue multiples. Other drone companies offer higher upside.
source ↗Post asserts AVAV is the gold standard and already part of replicator, KTOS is also successful alongside it; AIRO offers highest potential for lowest downside risk in counter UAV replicator; DPRO is speculative with early-stage RKLB-like upside.
source ↗Trump administration is funding US drone manufacturers through Pentagon's Strategic Capital Office, with an $1.1B program targeting 300k attack drones by 2027. Multiple companies across direct beneficiaries and supply chain stand to benefit.
source ↗