SHMD · SCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary SharesSCHMID Group N.V. Class A Ordinary Shares
📋 Conditional bullish on SHMD if financing is cleaned up, offsetting dilution overhang concerns
Conditional bullish on SHMD if financing is cleaned up, offsetting dilution overhang concerns.
Evidence & details
- +46.6 million new shares tied to warrants, convertible notes, and an earlier €10M loan
- +Permits resale of up to 95 million shares
- +Minor revenues now will not outpace dilution
- −Dilution from share issuance
- −Weak financials and revenues
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@soup19152116 I think a lot of people on X got $SHMD right in terms of their critical role for glass substrates/etc. But it doesn't mean it's a great stock due to financials and I'm personally avoiding it (could be wrong though). There's 46.6 million new shares tied to warran…
Thesis: Avoid SHMD due to dilution from warrants and convertible notes, and weak revenues that cannot outpace dilution in the near term.
SHMD is positioned as a key equipment supplier for glass substrates, similar to ASML's role in the fab cycle, with 70% market share and involvement with major players like Intel and Samsung.
source ↗SHMD would benefit from the start of glass substrate production cycles.
source ↗SKC/Absolics is first-to-market with US Government involvement for NVDA/AVGO/MVRL CPO play; SHMD is likely a customer for AVGO and on INTC/Samsung roadmaps.
source ↗Avoid SHMD due to dilution from warrants and convertible notes, and weak revenues that cannot outpace dilution in the near term.
source ↗Conditional bullish on SHMD if financing is cleaned up, offsetting dilution overhang concerns.
source ↗