๐Ÿ“‹ Target's P/E of 12 is fair value for a low-growth retailer (frying pan reseller), implying limited upside

medium convictionFirst mentioned Sep 18, 2025

Target's P/E of 12 is fair value for a low-growth retailer (frying pan reseller), implying limited upside.

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Current Price
$128.65
via cornerstones
Return from entry
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entry Sep 18, 2025
Thesis Lifecycle
๐ŸŸข
openedSep 18, 2025

TGT is at a 5-year low, oversold, with an upcoming dividend and multiple rate cuts but no price move yet. Using options to front-run dividend due to low implied volatility.

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updatedSep 18, 2025+1 conv

Cost averaging $TGT calls as dividend play at 5Y lows with rate cuts; expects institutional buying.

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updatedSep 25, 2025-1 conv

Bullish on NBIS due to $17B contract flowing into a $25B marketcap company; bullish on TGT for dividend calls; bullish on LULU and ETOR as undervalued tax harvesting plays; bullish on TSM for fundamental strength.

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updatedSep 27, 2025

User selects NBIS or TSM for 1-2 years, RKLB for 3 years, and lists a value investing basket including TGT, UPWK, PYPL, LULU, UNH, NVO as bullish picks.

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updatedOct 4, 2025

The author provides ratings (Strong Buy, Buy, Sell, Strong Sell) with brief explanations for each stock. Overall sentiment is mixed: bullish on names like RDDT, SNAP, AMZN, ETOR, NBIS, LTC and several others with specific catalysts; bearish on TSLA, CRCL, PLTR, BMNR, and quantum/AI hype stocks as overvalued or cult-like.

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updatedOct 15, 2025+1 conv

The author presents a broad bullish thesis on multiple growth stocks, particularly in AI/data center buildout (neoclouds), energy, and cybersecurity, citing catalysts such as rate cuts, government reopening, and seasonal trends. Key themes include the undervaluation of certain tech stocks after corrections, the importance of TSM as a central supplier, and the potential for re-rating in sectors like nuclear and memory.

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updatedOct 19, 2025

Author presents a comprehensive trading plan for rate cut week, recommending longs in neocloud, semiconductors, and select other stocks while selling overvalued quantum, space, and crypto assets. Key macro view: market fear is an ideal entry point ahead of expected rate cut.

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closedNov 19, 2025

Exited TGT calls after ex-div date passed, dividend catalyst play completed. Still sees TGT as undervalued for long-term holders.

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updatedJan 11, 2026

Target's P/E of 12 is fair value for a low-growth retailer (frying pan reseller), implying limited upside.

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dormantMay 29, 2026

No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.