VPG · Vishay Precision Group, Inc.Vishay Precision Group, Inc.
📋 List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc
List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.
Evidence & details
- +VPG has a moat in their foil tech.
- +Author assumes VPG is required for high-end Optimus versions.
- +Author still holds positions in VPG.
- ⚡Tesla Optimus production, especially high-end versions.
- −Elon targets $20k Optimus for mass production, chance VPG gets designed out is nonzero.
Chart
Post Timeline · 3 posts
@throughthetape I have a position in $VPG since this was my $TSLA Optimus long. But, I'm not 100% sure if they got designed out or not by Chinese partners for mass production ramp... However, this statement makes it sound like they're still a critical supplier? Really hard to…
Thesis: Uncertain about VPG's status as a critical supplier for Tesla Optimus, questioning if they were designed out by Chinese partners.
@ThematicTrader So that’s just the direct quote from the article, haven’t gone further into analysis. It did mention “hundreds of Chinese suppliers” so other threats may be Keli Sensing, Hanwei Electronics, Donhua, etc. Regarding $VPG, agreed I’d assume they’re required high-end…
Thesis: VPG's foil technology provides a moat for high-end Optimus versions, but mass production target for $20k Optimus introduces risk of being designed out.
@Bonek2801 Risk management purposes. I’d rather hold 50% in Bitcoin around $70K than sit on cash to lower volatility. Also the downside risk of $VPG is $TSLA creating their own sensors and vertically integrating it away. Similar bear case with $GOOGL and OCS with $LITE though.
Thesis: Downside risk for VPG from TSLA vertical integration; similar bear case for LITE with GOOGL.
VPG is a niche gem in Western robot supply chain benefiting from Tesla Optimus and Figure AI humanoid ramp.
source ↗VPG is the top robotics sector stock at a potential inflection point for robotics humanoids, reminiscent of past rallies in SNDK and SMCI.
source ↗The fundamental theses for INTC (White House policy/National Security), AXTI (InP bottleneck), and VPG (Optimus ramp) remain intact; despite short-term volatility, investors should wait for catalysts to play out.
source ↗Personal stock ratings with detailed commentary: Strong Buy on 14 stocks (SNAP, META, MU, TSM, etc.) citing catalysts like memory supercycle, bottlenecks, and AI tailwinds. Buy on 32 stocks including COIN, SMCI, GOOGL, and several crypto and drone plays. Questionable on VELO and SKYT due to weak fundamentals. Avoid on 11 stocks (UAVS, BKKT, PLTR, etc.) due to dilution, high debt, or overvaluation. Overall bullish on AI, memory, bottlenecks, made-in-America supply chains, and defense, with a long-term view until after midterms.
source ↗Markets underprice second-order effects from TSLA's Optimus ramp, benefiting VPG as a robotic supply chain component.
source ↗Agrees with willkyi on VPG revenue recognition thesis, implying a positive outlook.
source ↗VPG could capture significant revenue from Tesla's Optimus robot production, with potential for $850M revenue at 1M units and $8.5B at 10M units, based on CEO's quoted robot price midpoint of $850 per unit and 50-55% gross margins.
source ↗VPG is a robotics moonshot pick benefiting from Tesla's Optimus robot production, with significant revenue potential per robot.
source ↗Update on multiple positions: VPG strong as 'hard carry' from Optimus thesis; AIRO breakeven after drop, thesis unchanged; LPTH down slightly on Germanium fix, long-term pivot unchanged; AVAV good long at $13-14B due to defense contracts scaling.
source ↗$VPG has a link to Tesla's Optimus robot, as identified by Citron and cross-checked with institutional reports, suggesting a bullish catalyst.
source ↗VPG may be used for high-end/high precision versions of Tesla Optimus humanoid robots, particularly industrial/giga factory grade versions, while mass consumer versions use Chinese supply chains.
source ↗VPG's foil technology provides a moat for high-end Optimus versions, but mass production target for $20k Optimus introduces risk of being designed out.
source ↗Tesla Optimus bottlenecks identified: Real World Intelligence (NVDA), The Hand (possibly VPG), and Scale Manufacturing (Chinese suppliers).
source ↗VPG earnings show strong humanoid segment growth with $37.8M in strategic growth initiatives vs $30M goal, despite legacy noise and EPS miss. Author expects market to misinterpret, bullish on humanoid ramp.
source ↗VPG's earnings beat on revenue and the $37M figure, though multifaceted, is a positive tell for ramp.
source ↗Earnings figures considered noise; focus shifts to CEO commentary on humanoid orders of $37.8M and potential freezes.
source ↗VPG is a sensor play for Tesla's Optimus robot ramp. Recent Sidoti Conference mentioned potential to scale to hundreds of robots per week by end of 2026, aligning with Optimus. CEO estimates $500-$1.2k per robot revenue. However, robotic supply chains may be dead money until inflection point. Unitree IPO could be a catalyst.
source ↗List of 30 US stocks with brief bullish theses covering semis, AI, space, rare earths, etc.
source ↗No qualifying thesis event for 45+ days.